Thursday, October 19, 2017

“Black Monday” 1987 Stock Market Crash Will it Happen Again?

stock market, stock market crash, black monday

October 19, 2017 is the 30th year anniversary of "Black Monday" stock market crash (October 19, 1987), on this day stock markets around the world plunged. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 508 points marking a 22.6 percent drop, its largest ever one-day drop. The FTSE100 shed 11 per cent; and European markets followed the same downward pattern.

Following the big fall, regulators put new rules into effect, allowing for a halt in trading when there are exceptionally large price drops in certain indexes.

The fall in US markets was twice the size of those during the 1929 market crash (marked by a Black Tuesday and Black Thursday), and greater than any single-day move during the 2008 financial crisis. The recovery was almost as steep as the precipitous declines.

So will it happen again? It's possible since stock market involves risk however that kind of crash is highly unlikely.

Dow Jones industrial average is trading above 23,000 for the first time. It’s been nearly 16 months since S&P 500 index funds had a pullback of even 5 percent over the course of days or weeks, its longest such streak in two decades.

Many analysts expect the market to keep climbing, at least for the next year. The global economy is improving, corporate profits are rising and inflation remains low but not so low that it makes economists nervous.

Monday, September 11, 2017

Asian Shares and US Dollar Rise As Korea Tensions Ease

The US dollar is up while the Treasuries retreated and stocks rise as an appetite for risk returned to global markets after an anticipated North Korean missile test failed to materialize and Hurricane Irma struck the U.S. with less force than feared. Gold, the yen and Swiss franc all fell.

Bloomberg’s dollar index was headed for the first increase in eight days, while U.S. stock futures rose and Treasuries slipped after Irma weakened and shifted direction to spare Miami a direct hit. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index jumped the most in more than a week as all the region’s major stock gauges advanced and almost every sector gained. Earlier, equities across Asia traded in the green. Oil advanced as Gulf Coast refining capacity continued to recover after getting hit by Harvey.

Pyongyang warned of retaliation if the UN Security Council approves harsher sanctions over its recent nuclear test in a vote on Monday. The regime “is closely following the moves of the U.S. with vigilance,” the North’s state-run Korean Central News Agency said Monday.

“The better risk environment has seen Treasury yields move higher while the yen retreated,” wrote Chris Scicluna, head of economic research at Daiwa Capital Markets in London in a client note. Hurricane Irma appears “not to be quite as catastrophic as had been feared last week” and “thankfully there was no bad weekend news out of North Korea either,” he said.

Chinese stocks closed on a steady note after August inflation data released over the weekend came in better than expected, mainly on account of higher material costs.

The benchmark Shanghai Composite index rose 11.18 points or 0.33 percent to 3,376.42 while Hong Kong's Hang Seng index was up over 1 percent at 27,954 in late trade.

Japanese shares closed at their highest level in more than a week as the dollar recovered from a 10-month trough against the yen and data showed Japanese core machinery orders rose in July at the fastest pace since January 2016.

The Nikkei average jumped 270.95 points or 1.41 percent to 19,545.77, led by gains in recently battered automakers and financial stocks. The broader Topix index closed 1.17 percent higher at 1,612.26.

Australian shares rose sharply as banks and energy stocks rallied, helping more than offset weakness in the mining sector.

The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 index jumped 40.50 points or 0.71 percent to 5,713.10 while the broader All Ordinaries index finished 35.70 points or 0.62 percent higher at 5,775.10.

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Tuesday, August 22, 2017

Chinese Company Wants To Buy Jeep

Jeep, company acquisition, business finance, Jeep Grand Cherokee 2017

Chinese SUV manufacturer Great Wall Motors said that they are interested in acquiring the American car company Jeep, which is their attempt to expand globally. A company spokesman confirmed the bid interest on Monday, though a formal offer has not been made, according to the Associated Press.

In a statement, Jeep owner Fiat Chrysler, responding to what it called “market rumors,” said it has not been approached by Great Wall Motors for any business matters. Nevertheless, shares of Great Wall and Fiat Chrysler jumped on the possibility of a tie-up.

Fiat Chrysler statement: “In response to market rumors regarding a potential interest of Great Wall Motors in the Jeep brand, Fiat Chrysler Automobiles ... confirmed that it has not been approached by Great Wall Motors in connection with the Jeep brand or any other matter relating to its business. FCA is fully committed to its 2014-18 plan, having achieved each one of its targets to date and with only six quarters left to its completion.”

The news is not a surprise to people in the auto industry, since Fiat Chrysler chief executive Sergio Marchionne has made no secret of his desire for a merger or buyer to better position the world’s seventh-largest car company to compete globally against the likes of Volkswagen and Toyota. He previously pursued a deal with General Motors.

In April, he said Chrysler’s Jeep and Dodge brands are strong enough to stand alone like Ferrari, which the company spun off in 2015.

Italian automaker Fiat merged with Chrysler after the American auto giant stumbled during the Great Recession and filed for bankruptcy protection in 2009. The conglomerate’s brands include not just Fiat and Chrysler, but Alfa Romero, Maserati, Dodge, Ram and Jeep among others.

But Jeep and the Ram truck line are considered Fiat Chrysler’s most highly valued properties. Without Jeep, analysts said the automaker would be greatly diminished. Jeep has enjoyed several years of strong growth, however U.S. sales dropped by 13% in the first half of 2017, that has been due mainly to a restructuring of Jeep production in the U.S. The brand remains highly prized and would be, perhaps, the strongest enticement for anyone to partner with or purchase Fiat Chrysler.

Established in 1984, Great Wall is China’s largest manufacturer of SUVs and pickups

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Wednesday, August 9, 2017

Investors More Worried About US Despot Trump Than North Korea's Kim

U.S. President Donald Trump is a bigger concern to financial markets than North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un -- judging by traders’ reactions this year.

South Korea’s Kospi stock index was down 0.8% in afternoon trading Wednesday, hours after Trump told reporters “North Korea best not make any more threats to the United States,” Trump told reporters in Bedminster, New Jersey. “They will be met with fire, fury and, frankly, power the likes of which this world has never seen before.”

Traders in Seoul, about 24 miles from the border with the nuclear-armed North, also took the won down 0.9 percent. That’s a bigger reaction than after North Korean provocations:

  •     Kospi fell 0.6% and won dropped 0.3% on July 4 after North Korea warned it would make an important announcement (which turned out to be an ICBM launch)
  •     Kospi rose 0.1% and won gained 0.3% on July 31, the first trading day after the second ICBM launch
Investors have decades of experience observing North Korean threats. But with Trump, they’re still learning to deal with his unpredictable reactions.

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Tuesday, July 25, 2017

US Dollar falls to 13-month lows, Asian stocks sag

Business, finance, forex, US dollar, wall street

The US dollar was down to a 13-month low on Tuesday against a basket of major currencies, extending recent declines as investors positioned for a Federal Reserve meeting starting later in the day.

Undermining the case for a Fed rate increase in coming months, the dollar has been hit by weak U.S. data that has contrasted with an improving economic outlook in Europe and China.

The dollar fell 0.1% to 110.99 yen JPY=D4 on Tuesday, after touching a six-week low of 110.65 yen on Monday.

The dollar index .DXY, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six major peers, pulled back a little to 93.919 on Tuesday. It still remained above Monday's low of 93.823, its lowest level since June 2016.

Japan's Nikkei 225 index slipped by 0.1% to 19,955.20 and Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell 0.1% to 26,825.91. South Korea's Kospi sank 0.5% 2,438.50. Australia's S&P ASX 200 gained 0.7% to 5,726.60 and the Shanghai Composite index slipped 0.3% to 3,420.25. India's Sensex lost 0.1% to Shares in Southeast Asia were mixed.

Wednesday, July 12, 2017

Ethereum Stabilised to $200+

Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, Ethereum

One of the hottest cryptocurrency Ethereum stabilised on Wednesday after a free fall for two straight days. Ethereum is up 5% versus US dollar $201.17 at 4.17 a.m. ET.  Ethereum suffered a steep fall about 25% against the US dollar on Monday and Tuesday. It follows a 5,000% rise in the price of Ethereum since the start of the year.

eToro analyst Mati Greenspan told Business Insider on Tuesday that the decline was likely just a correction after such a rapid rise. Concerns over the viability of companies using Ethereum's network to raise money also contributed, he said.

Ethereum is an open-source database overlayed with a digital currency. Bitcoin is designed for spending, Ethereum's token, Ether, simply powers its network. Ethereum's network allows people to write "smart contracts" and people have been using it to raise money online through DIY crowdfundings called "Initial Coin Offerings."  

Bitcoin on Wednesday morning is up 0.24% to $2,322.03 at 4.27 a.m. ET.

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